AFC Wimbledon is going head to head with Sutton United starting on 22 Nov 2022 at 19:45 UTC . The match is a part of the EFL Trophy, Knockout stage. After missing out on the second round of this competition a season ago, Wimbledon have a shot at redemption on Tuesday. They suffered a 1-0 defeat at Sutton United in the group stage in 2021-22, eliminating them from this event.
Following their relegation from League One last season, the club brought in Johnnie Jackson as manager, a former defender with plenty of experience playing in the lower tiers of English football. As a player, he captured a League Two title with Notts County and won the League One championship at Charlton Athletic. Since November, Wimbledon have shown more structure and organisation along the backline, allowing a goal or fewer in their six matches played this month.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sutton United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Sutton United win is 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).
|AFC Wimbledon||Sutton United|
|0 Wins||2 Wins|
|1 Draw||1 Draw|
|2 Losses||0 Losses|
|1 Goal||4 Goals|
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ITV will show highlights of the Sky Bet Championship, Sky Bet League One, Sky Bet League Two, Carabao Cup and the Papa Johns Trophy from the 2022/23 season.