Newly-appointed Aldershot manager Ross McNeilly has had a wildly inconsistent start to his tenure at the Hampshire outfit – since his appointment on December 5, a win in his first game was followed by a run of four losses on the spin in all competitions. McNeilly and his Shots players have righted the ship of late, and are currently on a five-game unbeaten run heading into Tuesday night with three of those five games being wins.
This recent run has ignited whispers of an unlikely playoff push, although their progress was checked on Saturday after a 0-0 draw at home to struggling ex-Premier League side Oldham Athletic. Ahead of Tuesday night, Inih Effiong will once again be the Shots’ main goal threat – his 14 goals have kept their league position respectable almost single-handedly.
The 31 year-old English-Nigerian will hope to continue his charge towards a possible golden boot with another haul of strikes against the Wood. Justin Amaluzor’s seven strikes from the right wing have also been a very fruitful avenue for the team in the final third in 2022-23 and Englishman Amaluzor, who also shares his teammate’s links to Nigeria, may have his sights set on reaching double figures for goals as early as Tuesday night.
A hat-trick is needed against Boreham Wood for the 26 year-old, who arrived at the club following a free transfer from Motherwell in the summer, to reach double figures for the campaign. However, Town will need to start getting and sharing their assists around the team more from the Wood game onwards, as the club-high one that left-back Ollie Harfield has registered this season has curbed their ambition immensely.
Aldershot’s sixth-highest tally of goals conceded in the National League of 48 will also have to be dramatically reduced from Tuesday night onwards if they are to make any ground on the several teams above them in the playoff race.
We say: Aldershot Town 2-1 Boreham Wood
Neither of these teams give much away in terms of points or goals, but the fact that Aldershot are at home and that they have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, may just swing the result in their favour.
Aldershot won 7 direct matches. Boreham Wood won 4 matches. 4 matches ended in a draw. On average in direct matches both teams scored a 2.67 goals per Match.
This match will start from 1:15 am
This match will take place on 1 February 2023
The Shots have a clean bill of health ahead of the visit from the Hertfordshire outfit on Tuesday night.
As a result of this healthy squad, Ross McNeilly has the option of going with the 3-4-3 system that he utilised in the draw with Oldham on Saturday.
Effiong will be flanked by Amaluzor and Jake Hutchinson in the forward line, whilst Giles Phillips, Tyler Cordner and Corey Jordan will hold the defensive line in the back three ahead of former England Under-20 international Luca Ashby-Hammond between the sticks.
McNeilly’s formation will therefore also allow Oliver Pendlebury and Joe Partington to resume their usual roles as a central midfield pair.
Boreham Wood will be without Portuguese forward Bruno Andrade, as he will be serving a three-game suspension due to a straight red card. Andrade has only made three appearances for the Wood though, so Luke Garrard will probably line the team up as he usually would without the forward.
3-5-2 is de rigueur for the team so Erico Sousa will partner Ndlovu up front, whilst Josh Rees, Jack Payne and George Broadbent will provide the hustle and bustle in central midfield.
Ashby-Hammond; Phillips, Cordner, Jordan; Glover, Partington, Pendlebury, Harfield; Amaluzor, Effiong, Hutchinson
Ashmore; Ilesanmi, Evans, Agbontohoma; Marsh, Payne, Rees, Broadbent, Bush; Newton, Ndlovu
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Aldershot Town has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win is 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).
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Aldershot Town vs Boreham Wood a great match to watch, Boreham Wood will win.
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