Casa Pia will square off against reigning champions Porto at the Estadio Nacional in an interesting clash between two teams from the top half of the Primeira Liga table on Saturday (January 7). The hosts have done well on their return to the Portuguese top flight and are in fifth place in the standings after 14 games. Casa resumed their campaign following the international break with a 2-1 win at Portimonense last week.
Porto, meanwhile, made it three wins in a row, including an emphatic 5-1 win over Arouca in their last outing. Otavio gave them an early lead before in-form striker Mehdi Taremi bagged a hat-trick. With the win, they trail leaders and arch-rivals Benfica by five points.
Casa have been in good form this season but have suffered defeats against Lisbon giants – Benfica and Sporting. They have scored at least once in their last four league outings, keeping two clean sheets.
Porto, meanwhile, have won their last three league games, and the trend should continue. Casa could put up a fight, but Porto should eke out a narrow win.
Prediction: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto
This match will start from 2:00 am
This match will take place on 8 January, 2023
With his winner against Portimonense last time out, Antoine now has two goals in his last three matches and the 31-year-old forward could be rewarded with a starting role on Saturday.
On the injury front, Casa Pia will take to the pitch without the services of Corinthians loanee Leo Natel, who has missed the last seven matches through an ACL injury.
He is joined on the club’s injury table by fellow Brazilian Lucas Paes Souza, who is set to sit out his fifth consecutive game through a muscle problem.
As for Porto, Evanilson missed the game against Arouca last Wednesday and the 23-year-old striker is out of contention for the trip to the National Sports Center of Jamor.
Veteran defender Pepe has been out of action since returning from the World Cup due to an arm injury, while Zaidu Sanusi is currently recuperating from a muscle problem.
Batista; Bolgado, Fernandes, Nunes; Soares, Neto, Brice, Lelo; Clayton, Martins, Antoine
Costa; Pepe, Cardoso, Marcano, Wendell; Otavio, Grujic, Uribe, Galeno; Pepe, Taremi
Regarding the current betting odds on the 90 min. result market, a win for Casa Pia can be had for 9, a bet on the draw is 4.8 and taking a punt on a win for Porto comes in at 1.38. They’re the top prices on offer right now.
Our expert partners are tipping over 1.5 goals for this match.
Tip 1: Result – Porto
Tip 2: Goals – Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Over 2.5
Tip 3: Porto to score first – Yes
Tip 4: At least one goal to be scored in the second half – Yes
Tip 5: Mehdi Taremi to score any time – Yes
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (4.88%).
Casa Pia vs Porto a great match to watch, Casa will win.