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After suffering a disappointing 4-1 defeat to Barnsley at the weekend, Derby County will aim to get their League One campaign back on track when they welcome Cheltenham Town to Pride Park on Tuesday. The Robins, meanwhile, will need to pick themselves up after losing 4-0 to Barnsley and Portsmouth in their last two games.
Derby had lost once in 14 league games prior to Saturday’s away meeting with Barnsley, which proved to be a forgettable afternoon. David McGoldrick pulled a goal back after Devante Cole and Adam Phillips had given the Tykes a 2-0 lead, but Cole scored his second goal in first-half stoppage time to restore Barnsley’s two-goal advantage.
While the Rams were unable to mount a fightback in the second half, Barnsley added to their tally in injury time through Luke Thomas to condemn Derby to a 4-1 defeat. Although Paul Warne’s side will be downbeat following Saturday’s encounter, they remain in the playoffs and hold a four-point advantage over seventh-placed Wycombe Wanderers.
The Rams are currently unbeaten in 10 league games, and after winning eight of those matches, they may be confident that they can claim three points on Tuesday.
It looks to us that Derby County look set to fashion enough chances to find the net more than once while possibly not conceding when they meet Cheltenham Town, who could well struggle scoring a goal of their own.
We therefore think that it’s going to be a 2-0 winning score for Derby County at the end of this one.
Derby County are unbeaten in their last 13 games
— League 1 news (@League1news22) January 22, 2023
Paul Warnes team have won 9 out of 13 of those games and winning their last 5 games
1-0 W vs Cambridge
4-0 W vs Accrington
3-0 W vs Barnsley FA Cup
3-2 W vs Cheltenham
2-1 W vs Bolton #DCFC #dcfcfans #SkyBetLeagueOne #EFL
This match will start from 1:15 am
This match will take place on 1 March 2023
Let's bounce back ✊#DCFC #dcfcfans
— Derby County (@dcfcofficial) February 28, 2023
Derby are still expected to be without the services of James Chester and Max Bird, who are recovering from injury issues.
After featuring as a second-half substitute against Barnsley, Lewis Dobbin could be brought into the starting lineup on Tuesday.
McGoldrick will continue to lead the line for the Rams, and the forward will be looking to find the net for a third consecutive game.
As for the visitors, they may be unable to call upon Elkan Baggott, Lewis Freestone, Ben Williams and Tom Bradbury due to injury issues.
After recovering from injury, January arrival Glen Rea made his Cheltenham debut as a substitute on Saturday, and the Luton Town loanee may be given his first start for the club in midweek.
Wildsmith; Smith, Forsyth, Cashin, Sibley; Dobbin, Knight, Mendez-Laing; McGoldrick
Southwood; Jackson, Raglan, Long; Broom, Rea, Sercombe, Ferry; Perry; May, Keena
Turning to the betting odds in the WDW market, a win for Derby County is available for 1.37, a bet on the draw is 4.9 & betting on the winning team to be Cheltenham Town comes in at 10. They are the top bets being offered at the moment.
Three fine goals in last month's meeting 👏
— Derby County (@dcfcofficial) February 27, 2023
We host Cheltenham for the first time tomorrow 🐏#DCFC #dcfcfans
We say: Derby County 3-1 Cheltenham Town
Derby will be keen to bounce back from Saturday’s disappointing result, and having won eight of their last 10 home league games, we think that they will claim all three points against a Cheltenham side that are bereft of confidence.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw has a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town has a probability of 8.49%.
"𝙒𝙚 𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙗𝙪𝙞𝙡𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙨𝙤𝙢𝙚𝙩𝙝𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙦𝙪𝙞𝙩𝙚 𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙧𝙠𝙖𝙗𝙡𝙚 𝙖𝙩 𝙝𝙤𝙢𝙚. 𝙃𝙤𝙥𝙚𝙛𝙪𝙡𝙡𝙮 𝙬𝙚 𝙘𝙖𝙣 𝙙𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙖𝙩 𝙩𝙤𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙧𝙤𝙬."
— Derby County (@dcfcofficial) February 27, 2023
Nat can't wait to be back at Pride Park 🏠🖤🤍#DCFC
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it is 0-1 (3.45%).
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