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Fulham and Leeds United square off in an all-Premier League affair for a place in the quarter-finals of the FA Cup on Tuesday. The Peacocks head into the midweek tie off the back of ending their four-game winless run and will look to pick up where they dropped off.
Fulham extended their unbeaten run to six games last Friday when they salvaged a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers on home turf. The Cottagers have enjoyed a stellar campaign under Marco Silva and can dream of a place in Europe next season as they sit sixth in the Premier League table with 39 points from 25 games.
Fulham have now turned their attention to the FA Cup, where they saw off Hull City and Sunderland in their opening two rounds.
Fulham and Leeds have had contrasting league campaigns, with the Cottagers pushing for a place in Europe. The Cottagers have put together a solid run of form in recent weeks and we are tipping them to claim the win on Tuesday.
Prediction: Fulham 2-1 Leeds United
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This match will take place on 1 March 2023
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🆚Brentford vs Crystal Palace
🆚Brighton Albion vs Fulham
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Fulham will again be without the services of Tom Cairney and Neeskens Kebano through injury, while leading goalscorer Aleksandar Mitrovic remains a doubt due to a thigh problem.
Silva will not want to take any risks with Mitrovic, so it would not be a surprise to see him sit this one out also with a view to returning against Brentford in the league on March 6.
There will be changes from the side that started against Wolves in the Premier League, with Shane Duffy, Tosin Adarabioyo, Harry Wilson and Layvin Kurzawa all expected to feature in the XI, while there should be a spot between the sticks for Marek Rodak.
As for Leeds, Rodrigo, Archie Gray, Adam Forshaw and Stuart Dallas are definitely out, while Luis Sinisterra and Pascal Struijk remain injury doubts.
Rodak; Cedric, Duffy, Adarabioyo, Kurzawa; Lukic, Reed; Wilson, Solomon, James; Vinicius
Robles; Kristensen, Koch, Wober, Firpo; Greenwood, Gyabi, Roca, Summerville; Bamford, Rutter
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Stoke City vs Brighton
Leicester vs Blackburn
Fulham vs Leeds United
Bristol City vs Man City
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We say: Fulham 2-1 Leeds United
This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, but it is difficult to know exactly what to expect when two Premier League sides meet at this stage of the FA Cup. Both managers will make changes, but Fulham’s squad is arguably stronger, so we are backing the home side to secure a spot in the next round.
Tip 1: Result – Fulham
Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals – Yes (There have been three or more goals scored in five of the last six meetings between the teams)
Tip 3: More than 10.5 corners – No (There have also been fewer than 11 corner kicks in four of their last five clashes)
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fulham win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 29.86% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).
Coverage of the FA Cup in 2022/23 will be entirely split between BBC and ITV in a big victory for fans of football live on free-to-air TV.