Inter Milan will host Hellas Verona at the San Siro on Saturday (January 14) in Serie A. The hosts endured a slow start to their season but have found form recently and are now in the hunt for UEFA Champions League football. Inter were held to a 2-2 draw by newly promoted Monza in their last league outing but returned to winning ways with a 2-1 comeback win over Parma in the Coppa Italia last 16 in midweek. Inter are fourth in the standings, with 34 points from 17 games.
Hellas, meanwhile, have endured a difficult campaign, prompting the dismissal of manager Gabriele Cioffi just three months into his spell in charge. They have had a decent start to the year under new boss Marco Zaffaroni, most recently beating Cremonese 2-0, thanks to a Darko Lazovic brace.
Just days after closing the gap to first place by posting an impressive victory over previously unbeaten Napoli, last Saturday night, Inter were twice pegged back by regional rivals Monza in a 2-2 draw at Stadio Brianteo.
Under pressure from former Inter defender Luca Caldirola, a last-gasp own goal from Denzel Dumfries restricted the Nerazzurri to only one point; leaving them occupying fourth place in the table, just a game shy of Serie A’s halfway point.
Still just three points behind both Juventus and Milan, the gap to leaders Napoli is a more formidable 10, so Simone Inzaghi’s men may ultimately seek glory in cup competitions this term.
Retaining the Coppa Italia is likely to be their best chance of lifting a trophy in the coming months, though they also remain in the hunt for a fourth continental title, as a last-16 Champions League tie with Porto still awaits.
Inter have won four of their last five games across competitions and are on a brilliant ten-game unbeaten streak. They have won all but one of their eight home games in the this season, and the trend should continue.
Meanwhile, Verona’s latest result snapped their 11-game winless run in the league They are, however, winless away from home this season and could at Inter.
Prediction: Inter Milan 3-1 Hellas Verona
This match will start from 1:15 am
This match will take place on 15 January 2023
Several star names, such as Romelu Lukaku, Marcelo Brozovic, Nicolo Barella and Hakan Calhanoglu sat out Inter’s midweek cup win as Simone Inzaghi rotated his squad, but those fit enough to return may feature on Saturday.
Amid a hectic schedule, Edin Dzeko and Milan Skriniar are most likely to be brought back into the starting XI after only appearing from the bench against Parma, while Matteo Darmian again contests a place on the right flank of Inzaghi’s 3-5-2 formation with Denzel Dumfries.
Joaquin Correa is the man most likely to make way for Dzeko, who made his Serie A debut versus Verona in 2015 and has scored each of his four league goals against them in home matches – including one at San Siro last April.
Onana; Skriniar, De Vrij, Bastoni; Darmian, Gagliardini, Asllani, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Martinez, Dzeko
Montipo; Dawidowicz, Hien, Ceccherini; Depaoli, Ilic, Tameze, Doig; Lazovic, Kallon; Djuric
Tip 1 – Result: Inter
Tip 2 – Goals – Over/under 2.5 – Over 2.5 goals (Seven of the last nine games between the two teams have produced more than 2.5 goals.)
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: Yes (Both teams have scored in four of their last six games.)
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw has a probability of 16.2% and a win for Hellas Verona has a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.05%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Hellas Verona win it is 0-1 (3.17%).
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Inter vs Verona A great match to watch, Inter will win.
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