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Maritimo welcome Benfica at the Estadio dos Barreiros in Primeira Liga on Sunday (March 12). The Portuguese top flight enters matchday 24, with Benfica keeping a stranglehold on the top spot. However, their lead over second-placed Porto has shrunk to eight points, setting the stage for a possible shake-up with 11 games to spare. Marítimo, meanwhile, are struggling to avoid the drop and are just six points adrift of safety.
Os Verde-Rubros have won only four games, drawing four and losing 15, which leaves them in 16th spot and as a candidate for the relegation playoffs. The upcoming meeting is an uphill battle for the hosts, who have lost four of their last five league games. They have been outscored by the visitors 16-2 in their last five clashes.
Roger Schmidt takes high-flying Benfica to Funchal as they continue their push for a 38th Primeira Liga title and the first since 2018-19. According to the manager, the battle is not between them and Maritimo but against Porto and Braga. Braga are in third place, replacing Sporting in the Big Three this term.
As Aguias have won 20 league games so far, drawing two and losing one, ensuring their place atop the standings with 62 points. They have scored 58 league goals, enjoying a goal difference of 45, thanks largely to Goncalo Ramos and Joao Mario.
Both players lead the league’s scoring chart with 15 and 14 goals respectively.
Claudio Winck, Xadas and Andre Vidigal will hope to continue their good form. The trio leads the hosts’ scoring charts, with four goals for Wick and three apiece for the latter two. Both Xadas and Vidigal have been plagued by injuries, though.
Meanwhile, Ramos and Mario will look to build on their impressive tallies for Benfica, while Alejandro Grimaldo will strive to improve his tally of eight assists. Benfica are expected to prevail based on their better recent form.
Prediction: Maríiimo 1-3 Benfica
⚽ CS Marítimo vs. SL Benfica
— SL Benfica (@SLBenfica) March 12, 2023
🏆 24.ª jornada da #LigaPortugal
🕗 18:00
🏟 Estádio do Marítimo
📺 Sport TV1#CSMSLB | #EuAmoOBenfica pic.twitter.com/ZVaWxItehX
This match will start from 11:30 pm
This match will take place on 12 March 2023
Maritimo will take to the pitch without Portuguese midfielder Diogo Mendes, who is yet to make an appearance this year after coming off injured in December’s game against Sporting Lisbon.
Brazilian midfielder Val Soares will play no part in Sunday’s game due to a one-game suspension after crossing the yellow card threshold with his booking against Gil Vicente last time out.
In his absence, 30-year-old Stefano Beltrame could come into the fold for what will be his 12th league start of the season, teaming with Joao Afonso at the centre of the park.
With his strike against Club Brugge at the weekend, Mario became the first Benfica player to score in five consecutive Champions League matches since Eusebio in the 1963-64 campaign.
⚽ #LigaPortugal 🇵🇹 | #Maritimo vs. #Benfica
— Puntaje Ideal EC (@PuntajeIdealEC) March 12, 2023
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🤳 #LigaPortugalBwin – #CSMSLB
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Carne; Winck, Junior, Santos, Costa; Afonso, Beltrame; Riascos, Xadas, Vidigal; Moreno
Vlachodimos; Bah, Otamendi, Silva, Grimaldo; Aursnes, Luis; Neres, Mario, Silva; Ramos
We say: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Benfica will be licking their lips as they take on a struggling Maritimo side who have lost five of their last six matches. As Aguias currently appear unstoppable and given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with another huge victory.
Tip 1: Result – Benfica
Tip 2: Game to have over 2.5 goals – Yes
Tip 3: Benfica to score first – Yes
Tip 4: Marítimo to score – Yes
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw has a probability of 15.7% and a win for Maritimo has a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.38%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Maritimo win it is 1-0 (3.13%).
Maritimo vs Benfica
— 𝐐𝐔𝐄𝐄𝐍 𝐎𝐅 𝐁𝐎𝐎𝐌 (@floss_reigh) March 10, 2023
Portuguese football on TV (Primeira Liga) will be shown live on BT Sport and Viaplay Sports during the 2022/23 season.