Millwall and Bristol City will go head-to-head at the Den in round 25 of the EFL Championship on Thursday (December 29). The Lions are unbeaten in their last seven home games across competitions and will look to continue in the same vein.
Millwall returned to winning ways in style, seeing off Watford 2-0 at Vicarage Road in a thrilling Boxing Day contest. Before that, they were on a three-game winless streak across competitions, drawing twice and losing once.
With 35 points from 23 games, Millwall are sixth in the Championship, level on points with Norwich City and QPR. Meanwhile, Bristol were condemned to a second straight defeat when they lost 2-0 to West Bromwich Albion at home.
That followed a 2-1 home loss against Stoke City on December 17, which snapped their three-game unbeaten run in the league. Bristol are 18th in the league, picking up 27 points from 24 matches.
Millwall have been near impenetrable at home and will look to build on their win over Watford. Bristol, meanwhile, have suffered a drop-off in form in recent weeks, so the Lions should make use of their home advantage to pick up a second straight win.
Prediction: Millwall 2-1 Bristol City
This match will start from 1:15 am
This match will take place on 30 December, 2022
Millwall will be without winger Callum Styles, who suffered a calf injury in the defeat to Sunderland earlier this month, with the ex-Barnsley man expected to be back in action in early January.
A long-term absentee for Rowett’s men is Ryan Leonard, who has not featured since August after a serious hamstring injury – the club are targeting his return in January.
Andy King is a doubt for Bristol City after being forced off with a knock in the second half on Boxing Day, meaning Pearson could be forced to start Robert Atkinson at The Den – a player he has recently left out of matchday squads due to a lack of trust.
The Robins could do with the presence of Tomas Kalas in their backline, but the medical team at Ashton Gate are wary of rushing the 29-year-old back from his calf injury too quickly, meaning he is unlikely to feature in this one.
Long; McNamara, Hutchinson, Cooper, Wallace; Mitchell, Saville, Voglsammer, Flemming, Burey; Bradshaw
O’Leary; Vyner, Atkinson, Naismith, Pring; Weimann, Williams, James, Scott; Wells, Conway
Tip 1: Result – Millwall
Tip 2: Game to have over 2.5 goals – Yes (There have been at least three goals scored in four of the last five meetings between the two teams.)
Tip 3: Less than 4.5 cards – Yes (There have been fewer than five bookings in seven of their last nine clashes.)
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City has a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Bristol City win it is 0-1 (5.57%).
For the 2022/23 season, select Championship games will be available via the ESPN paid subscription service called ESPN+.
Millwall vs Bristol City a great match to watch, Millwall will win