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Monza will welcome reigning champions AC Milan to the Stadio Brianteo in Serie A on Saturday. The hosts are unbeaten in their last eight league outings and returned to winning ways last Sunday as they overcame Bologna in their away game thanks to Giulio Donati’s first-half goal. Thanks to their unbeaten run, they find themselves in 10th place in the league table with 29 points to their name.
AC Milan returned to winning ways after three consecutive defeats last time around as Olivier Giroud’s second-half striker helped them overcome Torino at home last Friday. They continued their winning run in the UEFA Champions League, defeating Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 in the first leg on Tuesday.
Back-to-back defeats have seen them drop to fifth place in the league table but just three points separate them from second-placed Inter Milan.
The Biancorossi have been in solid form at home in Serie A this season, scoring at least two goals in four of their last five games. They defeated Juventus and played out a draw against Inter at home earlier this season and will be hopeful of a strong performance. They have not defeated Milan since 1964 but their odds of playing out a draw look good.
The Rossoneri have failed to score in their last two away games and have just one win in their last six league games. Stefano Pioli fielded a strong squad in the Champions League and might rest a few players from that match in this tie. With that in mind, the two teams are expected to play out a draw.
Prediction: Monza 2-2 AC Milan
"Milan is the team that has my heart, I'd go see games with my dad. When Milan loses my heart is broken, let's hope for a draw which won't hurt anyone"
— Italian Football TV (@IFTVofficial) February 17, 2023
🗣️ Berlusconi to Sky on Monza vs Milan tomorrow pic.twitter.com/18I0TjZ1ap
This match will start from 10:30 pm
This match will take place on 18 February 2023
Sure odds today-Over 1.5 FT💵
— KIRIKUU✏️ (@Kirikuu20) February 18, 2023
1:- Arsenal vs aston villa✅
2:- Monza vs AC milan✅
3:-Newcastle vs liverpool✅
4:-Feyenoord vs Az alkmar✅
5:-BSC young boys vs FC lugano✅
7:-Nottingham forest vs man city✅
8:-monchengladbach vs bayern munchen✅
Usipo shinda nidai stake yako😂 pic.twitter.com/wYeAYkRDVX
Though Stefano Pioli will still be without both first-choice goalkeeper Mike Maignan and Alessandro Florenzi, Milan’s long injury list continues to shorten, as Fikayo Tomori returns to the squad on Saturday.
Ismael Bennacer could also be available to feature at some stage, but would join recent returnee Zlatan Ibrahimovic on the bench at best. Therefore, Sandro Tonali should again be joined by Rade Krunic in central midfield.
Brahim Diaz struck the Rossoneri’s winner in midweek, and the only top-flight brace of his career came in October’s reverse fixture – those were also his last goals in Serie A. He should start in support of Olivier Giroud as part of Pioli’s new-look 3-4-3 formation; just one of the latter’s seven league goals this season have come away from home.
Meanwhile, Monza striker Andrea Petagna has scored and then provided an assist in his last two outings, so should be retained in a settled home side.
Di Gregorio; Izzo, Mari, Caldirola; Donati, Pessina, Rovella, Ciurria; Caprari, Mota; Petagna
Tatarusanu; Kalulu, Kjaer, Thiaw; Saelemaekers, Tonali, Krunic, Hernandez; Diaz, Giroud, Leao
GOOD MORNING! A host of Serie A games today:
— Italian Football TV (@IFTVofficial) February 18, 2023
– Sampdoria vs Bologna
– Monza vs Milan
– Inter vs Udinese
We say: Monza 1-1 AC Milan
Monza are now a tough nut to crack, so even a recent return to something like normality for Milan may not see them in shape to end their hosts’ unbeaten run. Lacking their old vibrancy up front, with Rafael Leao still struggling, the champions could have to settle for a point.
Tip 1: Result – Draw
Tip 2: Goals – Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Over 2.5
Tip 3: Olivier Giroud to score any time – Yes
Tip 4: At least a goal to be scored in the first half – Yes
Tip 5: AC Milan to score first – Yes
Serie A games today:
— Smart Psychopath (@SmartPsychopat1) February 18, 2023
Sampdoria vs Bologna
Monza vs Milan
Inter vs Udinese
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza has a probability of 33.51% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win is 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.1%).
You can watch this match on Jio Cinema.