The 2022-23 edition of La Liga returns to the fold with another round of matches this weekend as Osasuna lock horns with Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid side in an important encounter at the Estadio el Sadar on Saturday.
Real Madrid are currently in second place in the La Liga standings and have not been at their best so far this season. Los Blancos thrashed Elche by a comprehensive 4-0 scoreline in their previous game and will look to achieve a similar result this weekend.
Osasuna, on the other hand, are in ninth place in the league table at the moment and have been fairly impressive this season. The Pamplona-based outfit played out a 0-0 stalemate against Real Valladolid last week and will need to take it up a notch to stand a chance in this fixture.
Real Madrid have flattered to deceive in La Liga this season and will need to play out of their skins to catch up with arch-rivals Barcelona. Karim Benzema marked his league return with a brace this week and will look to add to his goal tally this weekend.
Osasuna can pack a punch on their day but have endured a definitive slump in recent weeks. Real Madrid are the better team at the moment and should be able to win this game.
Prediction: Osasuna 1-3 Real Madrid
This match will start from 1:30 am
This match will take place on 19 February 2023
Osasuna’s squad will be boosted by the return of Abde Ezzalzouli following a suspension, and the on-loan Barcelona attacker is expected to return to the starting side for this match.
However, Ezequiel Avila, who has seven league goals this season, and Juan Cruz will now serve bans of their own, while Aimar Oroz, Ruben Pena and Nacho Vidal are out of the clash with the champions due to injury problems.
Kike Garcia is pushing to be included in an advanced area and might be preferred to Kike Barja, but Ante Budimir will again lead the line for the home side.
As for Real Madrid, Ancelotti has confirmed that number one goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois will return from a thigh problem against Osasuna this weekend.
Vinicius Junior is also available, having served a suspension against the league’s basement side, but Toni Kroos (illness) and Karim Benzema (muscle fatigue) are both out of the match.
Fernandez; Moncayola, Aridane, U Garcia, Sanchez; Ibanez, Torro, M Gomez; Ezzalzouli, Budimir, K Garcia
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Rudiger, Alaba; Modric, Tchouameni, Ceballos; Valverde, Rodrygo, Vinicius
We say: Osasuna 0-1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Barcelona, so there is no downplaying the importance of this match. Osasuna are capable of making this an uncomfortable game, and the hosts will be the fresher of the two teams, but we are expecting Ancelotti’s side to secure all three points.
Tip 1: Result – Real Madrid
Tip 2: Game to have over 2.5 goals – Yes
Tip 3: Real Madrid to score first – Yes
Tip 4: Karim Benzema to score – Yes
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Osasuna win it is 1-0 (5.38%).
You can watch this match on Jio Cinema and Voot.
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