The 2023 edition of the Supercopa de Espana is back in action with another round of matches this week as Valencia lock horns with Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid side at the King Fahd International Stadium in Riyadh on Wednesday.
Valencia are currently in 11th place in the La Liga standings and have not been at their best so far this season. Los Che slumped to a 1-0 defeat against Cadiz in their previous game and will need to be at their best in this fixture.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, are in second place in the league table at the moment and have been fairly impressive this season. Los Blancos suffered a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Villarreal in their previous league game and will need to bounce back this week.
Real Madrid have an excellent squad at their disposal but are yet to hit their peak this season. The likes of Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo can pack a punch on their day and will need to make their mark in this fixture.
Valencia have a good squad but have not been able to justify their potential so far this season. Real Madrid are the better team on paper and should be able to win this game.
Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Valencia
This match will start from 12:30 am
This match will take place on 12 January 2023
Real Madrid were missing three players for Saturday’s clash with Villarreal; Mariano Diaz was absent due to an ankle issue, while muscular problems ruled both Dani Carvajal and Alvaro Odriozola out.
The trio are back in the squad for this match, but Los Blancos have been hit with a fresh double injury blow, with David Alaba and Aurelien Tchouameni both out of the contest due to calf problems.
Alaba is believed to have picked up the issue against Villarreal, while Tchouameni is thought to have suffered the problem during Monday’s training session.
As a result, Eder Militao should move back inside to partner Antonio Rudiger in the middle of the defence, while Federico Valverde could play in central midfield on Wednesday, with Rodrygo joining Karim Benzema and Vinicius Junior in the final third of the field.
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Rudiger, Mendy; Kroos, Valverde, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius
Mamardashvili; Correia, Comert, Diakhaby, Gaya; Musah, Guillamon, Almeida; Kluivert, Cavani, Lino
Tip 1: Result – Real Madrid
Tip 2: Game to have over 2.5 goals – Yes
Tip 3: Real Madrid to score first – Yes
Tip 4: Vinicius Junior to score – Yes
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Valencia win it is 0-1 (4.77%).
Real Madrid vs Valencia a great match to watch, Real Madrid will win.
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