Real Sociedad host Cadiz at the Reale Arena on Friday (March 3) in La Liga. The hosts have had mixed results in the league recently, falling behind in the title race. Sociedad lost 1-0 to struggling Valencia in their last game, falling behind in the first half to an Igor Zubeldia own goal and failing to find their way back into the game. Sociedad have picked up 43 points from 23 games this season and are third in the league table.
Cadiz, meanwhile, have had their struggles this season but have begun picking up points in recent weeks to avoid an impending relegation scrap. They beat Rayo Vallecano 1-0 last time out. Sergi Guardiola scored a second-half winner, his second goal in as many games for El Submarino Amarillo.
Sociedad are on a run of back-to-back winless outings and have won just one of their last six games across competitions. They have, however, lost just one of their last six home games.
Cadiz, meanwhile, have alternated wins and losses in their last six league games. They have, however, lost their last three away outings and could lose this one.
Prediction: Real Sociedad 1-0 Cadiz
This match will start from 1:30 am
This match will take place on 4 March 2023
Real Sociedad still have a number of injury problems, with Aritz Elustondo, David Silva, Mohamed Ali-Cho, Sadiq Umar and Martin Merquelanz ruled out of Friday night’s contest.
Head coach Alguacil is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack following the 1-0 loss at Valencia, although there could be a change at right-back, with Alex Sola potentially coming into the side.
Mikel Oyarzabal and Takefusa Kubo should again support Alexander Sorloth in the final third of the field, while Mikel Merino is expected to again feature in central midfield.
As for Cadiz, Brian Ocampo, Alvaro Negredo, Jose Mari, Juan Cala, Jon Ander Garrido and Joseba Zaldua have been ruled out of the match through injury.
The visitors do not have any fresh concerns from their victory over Rayo last time out, though, so it would not be a surprise to see the same XI take to the field.
Remiro; Sola, Zubeldia, Le Normand, Rico; Mendez, Zubimendi, Merino; Kubo, Sorloth, Oyarzabal
Ledesma; Carcelen, Hernandez, Fali, Espino; Bongonda, Escalante, Alcaraz, Sobrino; Guardiola, Roger
We say: Real Sociedad 2-1 Cadiz
Real Sociedad desperately need to return to winning ways as they battle to stay in the top four, and we are expecting the hosts to triumph on Friday evening. Cadiz’s home form in recent months has been excellent, but they are a different team on the road, and Real Sociedad should secure all three points here.
Tip 1 – Result: Sociedad
Tip 2 – Goals – Over/under 2.5 – Under 2.5 goals (Seven of the hosts’ last eight games have produced fewer than 2.5 goals.)
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: No (Both teams have scored in just one of their last five matchups.)
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cadiz has a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cadiz win it is 0-1 (6.08%).
You can watch this match on Voot.
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