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Schalke and Borussia Dortmund square off in another edition of the fierce Revierderby in round 24 of the German Bundesliga on Saturday. Still licking their wounds from their Champions League exit, Edin Terzic’s men will look to return to winning ways and claim the local bragging rights.
Schalke picked up successive wins for the first time since July as they edged out Bochum 2-0 last Saturday. This followed a 2-1 home victory over Stuttgart on February 25 which saw their 13-game winless run come to an end.
With 19 points from 23 matches, Schalke are currently 17th in the Bundesliga table, but could potentially leave the relegation zone and move up to 14th place with a win this weekend. Elsewhere, Dortmund were dumped out of the Champions League on Saturday as they suffered a 2-0 second-leg defeat against Chelsea after claiming a 1-0 win in February’s reverse leg.
With their European quest now over, Terzic’s side turn their focus to the Bundesliga, where they have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for their first title since 201. Dortmund are currently on an eight-game winning streak in the Bundesliga and sit level on 49 points with first-placed Bayern Munich in the table.
While Schalke appear to have finally hit their stride, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Dortmund side who will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction following their Champions League exit.
The visitors boast a superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to come out on top in another fierce Revierderby showdown.
Prediction: Schalke 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
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Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund
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⚽️🔥
This match will start from 11:00 pm
This match will take place on 11 March 2023
In addition to doubts about first-choice goalkeeper Gregor Kobel, who suffered a muscular injury just before Dortmund’s win over Leipzig, BVB boss Edin Terzic must now deal with the absence of Julian Brandt.
The latter came off nursing his thigh against Chelsea, so Gio Reyna and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens will be among those vying to replace him on Saturday.
Captain Marco Reus will start if he can shake off an illness, and the 33-year-old is seeking his 160th Dortmund goal in all competitions, to pull clear of Michael Zorc as the club’s all-time record scorer. Reus has had a hand in at least one goal during each of his last three Bundesliga matches – two of his own and two assists.
Elsewhere, Julian Ryerson returns from suspension, but forward pair Karim Adeyemi and Youssoufa Moukoko remain sidelined by injury.
Fahrmann; Brunner, Yoshida, Jenz, Matriciani; Kral, Krauss; Zalazar, Bulter, Mohr; Frey
Meyer; Wolf, Sule, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson; Ozcan, Can, Bellingham; Reyna, Haller, Reus
We say: Schalke 04 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
While they have improved dramatically in recent weeks, Schalke’s mettle will truly be tested by fired-up local rivals aiming for the title. Dortmund’s disappointment at exiting Europe will quickly dim, and with so much at stake they can produce at least a couple of goals and another Revierderby victory.
Tip 1: Result – Dortmund
Tip 2: Both sides to score – No (Dortmund have kept five clean sheets in their last five games against Schalke)
Tip 3: Less than 10.5 corners – Yes (There have been fewer than 11 corner kicks in eight of the last nine meetings between the sides)
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Dortmund vs Schalke (ANTV) pic.twitter.com/NsjgewUZOz
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Schalke 04 has a probability of 20% and a draw has a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.19%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win is 2-1 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.51%).
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