On Wednesday, January 11, Troyes will welcome Marseille, which currently sits in third place, to the Stade de l’Aube in Ligue 1.
With a 3-2 victory over Strasbourg, the hosts recorded their first victory in the French top flight since September. They took an early lead through Renaud Ripart and Rony Lopes, and Xavier Chavalerin scored the game-winning goal in the 78th minute after Strasbourg had equalized early in the second half.
Marseille, on the other hand, is coming off a 2-1 victory at Montpellier and has won their last five games in all competitions. They took an early lead before Nuno Tavares was sent off. Prior to Teji Tedy Savanier’s late penalty for Montpellier, Maxime Esteve’s own goal doubled their lead.
After 17 games, Troyes (18) is 13th in the standings, six points above the relegation zone. Marseille (36) is third, eight points behind leaders Paris Saint-Germain.
Since September, the hosts have only achieved one competitive victory, but they have not lost at home since August. This century, Troyes has only won twice against Marseille, both at home.
In contrast, Marseille has not scored in any of their away games this season. Taking into account the new history between the two groups at Troyes, Marseille ought to win easily.
Prediction: Troyes 1-2 Marseille.
Since their first meeting in 1954, when they were competing in Division 1, the two teams have clashed 37 times across competitions. Marseille has a 20-8 lead. The visitors haven’t lost to Troyes in seven games, including a 1-1 draw there last season.
In eight of their last nine competitive home games against Marseille, Troyes has scored less than 2.5 goals. This season, the hosts have only lost once at home in Ligue 1, drawing six times.
• Olympique Marseille wins 66% of their games when they are ahead 0-1 on the road.
• Olympique Marseille wins 44% of halftimes, while ESTAC Troyes wins 30%.
• ESTAC Troyes wins no games when they are down 0-1 at home.
• In their last five Ligue 1 matches against Olympique Marseille, ESTAC Troyes has won just one game.
• This season’s away record for Olympique Marseille: 5-2-1.
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