Uzbekistan and Bolivia lock horns at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium in Buraidah, Saudi Arabia, for a friendly on Friday (March 24). The White Wolves begin preparations for next year’s Asia Cup, having sealed their place in the Qatar showpiece following an impressive campaign in the qualifiers.
Manager Srecko Katanec has named 25 players for this month’s double header, including prolific forward Eldor Shomurodov, who has scored 33 goals. He needs just one more to equal Maxim Shatskikh’s Uzbekistan record. Olympic Tashkent defender Saidazamat Mirsaidov is the only uncapped player in the squad.
Bolivia, meanwhile, are looking to recover from a disastrous 2022, which saw them lose all five games. They started the year with defeats in the 2022 FIFA World Cup qualifiers against Chile, Colombia and Brazil, before losing to Senegal and Peru in friendlies.
Manager Gustavo Costas has selected 26 players for their friendlies against Uzbekistan and Saudi Arabia this month, including record goalscorer Marcelo Martins.
He has struck 30 times for La Verde in 98 appearances and could become just the second player in Bolivia’s history to reach a century of caps by the end of this month. There are six uncapped players in the squad as well.
Uzbekistan had a much better 2022 than Bolivia. They also boast a strong attacking unit backed up by a stoic defence that makes them favourites to prevail.
Bolivia have gone through a rough patch lately, producing anaemic displays across departments. There’s no reason to believe that La Verde could beat the in-form White Wolves.
Prediction: Uzbekistan 2-0 Bolivia
This match will start from 11:30 pm
This match will take place on 24 March 2023
Both teams will enter the match with all the selected players.
Yusupov; Sayfiev, Ashurmatov, Eshmurodov, Mirsaidov; Shukurov, Hamrobekov; Turgunboev, Erkinov; Shomurodov, Sergeyev
Viscarra; Medina, Jusino, Sagredo, Roca; Bejarano, Chura, R Vaca; Cuellar, Moreno, Algaranaz
We say: Uzbekistan 2-1 Bolivia
Uzbekistan find themselves in a positive run and are certainly becoming a resolute side with qualities across the pitch.
We see them triumphing over a struggling Bolivia team who are missing many key players, with Shomurodov likely punishing La Verde’s shaky defence.
Tip 1 – Result: Uzbekistan
Tip 2 – Goals over/under 2.5: Under 2.5
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: No
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 80.66%. A draw has a probability of 12.9% and a win for Bolivia has a probability of 6.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.53%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Bolivia win it is 0-1 (2.26%).
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