Empoli will entertain Sampdoria at the Stadio Carlo Castellani in Serie A on Monday (January 16). The hosts are unbeaten in three league games and are coming off a 2-2 draw against Lazio. Empoli fell two goals behind against the capital club but scored twice in the final 13 minutes to force a share of the spoils. Francesco Caputo scored in the 83rd minute, while Razvan Marin scored his first goal of the campaign in injury time. Empoli are 13th with 19 points.
Sampdoria, meanwhile, failed to build on their 2-1 win at Sassuolo a fortnight ago, as they fell to a 2-0 loss against Napoli at home. They’re 19th in the standings with just nine points from 17 games.
Empoli have struggled in their recent meetings against Sampdoria, winning just once in 12 games. They have seen an uptick in form in recent games, though.
Sampdoria, meanwhile, ave failed to score in five of their last six league outings. Nonetheless, they have a decent record in recent meetings against Empoli and could earn a point here.
Prediction: Empoli 1-1 Sampdoria
This match will start from 1:15 am
This match will take place on 17 January 2023
Mattia Destro remains out for Empoli in attack, but the recent signing of Caputo will help fill the void in his absence while he recovers from a calf injury.
Another former Samp player who made a recent return to Empoli like Caputo, Lorenzo Tonelli, will not feature here as he continues to nurse a serious knee injury that has kept him out since last season.
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro will be available again after he served his one-match suspension following his red card at Udinese.
Jeison Murillo’s red card in midweek in Sampdoria’s cup exit against Fiorentina will not carry over into the league, so the Colombian defender will still be available for selection here.
Tomas Rincon was dismissed against Napoli in their last league fixture though, so after featuring in the cup, the midfielder will miss this game through suspension.
Vicario; Stojanovic, Ismajli, Luperto, Parisi; Marin, Grassi, Akpa Akpro; Bajrami, Caputo, Satriano
Audero; Murillo, Colley, Nuytinck; Leris, Sabiri, Vieira, Augelio, Djuricic; Lammers, Gabbiadini
Tip 1: Result – Draw
Tip 2: Goals – Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Under 2.5
Tip 3: Empoli to score first – Yes
Tip 4: At least a goal to be scored in the second half – Yes
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Empoli win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sampdoria has a probability of 27.13% and a draw has a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sampdoria win is 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).
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Empoli vs Sampdoria a great match to watch, Empoli will win.
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