Real Oviedo will host Deportivo Alaves at the Carlos Tartiere on Friday (January 13) in the Segunda Division. The hosts have had mixed results this season, finding themselves in the bottom half of the standings. Oviedo were knocked out of the Copa del Rey by Atletico Madrid in their first game of the year before losing 3-1 to Andorra in the league in their previous outing.
Oviedo have picked up 27 points from 22 games and are 15th in the standings. Deportivo, meanwhile, struggled for form at the tail end of 2022, falling behind in the race for La Liga promotion. They have, however, begun the new year on a positive note.
They beat Real Valladolid 1-0 in the last 32 of the domestic cup before picking up a narrow but well-deserved 1-0 win over Burgos in their last league outing.
Oviedo are on a run of back-to-back defeats and have won just two of their last six games across competitions. They are, however, unbeaten in their last five home league games.
Alaves, meanwhile, have won their last three games. They’re in much better form than their opponents and should win, albeit narrowly.
Prediction: Real Oviedo 0-1 Deportivo Alaves
This match will start from 1:30 am
This match will take place on 14 january 2023
Real Oviedo will not have major personnel problems before the duel with Alaves, except that they will have to play without the long-absent Javi Mier, who suffered a serious knee injury in late October.
The Asturian club suffered a heavy defeat at the weekend against FC Andorra (1-3), so coach Alvaro Cervera is likely to make some changes to the starting line-up against Deportivo Alaves.
Unlike his colleague, Luis Garcia travels to Oviedo with a clean bill of health, so he will have all the key players at his disposal and is expected to take the field with the strongest XI.
Real Oviedo and Alaves to Draw
Real Oviedo and Alaves to Draw at Half Time
Both Teams to Score – Yes
Tip 1 – Result: Deportivo
Tip 2 – Goals – Over/under 2.5 – Under 2.5 goals (Five of the last seven games between the two teams have produced fewer than 2.5 goals.)
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: NO (Both teams have scored in just two of the visitors’ last 11 games.)
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.93%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.17%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
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Oviedo vs Alavés a great match to watch, Oviedo will win.
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