Peterborough United will look to avoid a fourth consecutive defeat in all competitions when they welcome Barnsley to the Weston Homes Stadium for Friday’s League One contest. The hosts currently sit in fourth place, while Barnsley are just one point adrift in sixth position, and they are currently in fine form after winning five of their last six competitive games.
Since thrashing Salford City 3-0 in the first round of the FA Cup, Peterborough have gone on to lose three consecutive games. After being edged out by Bristol Rovers in a League One meeting, Posh were knocked out of the EFL Trophy by Chelsea Under 21s following a 4-2 defeat.
In their FA Cup meeting with Shrewsbury Town last weekend, Kwame Poku restored parity in the 13th minute after Tom Bayliss had opened the scoring, but goals from Matthew Pennington and Luke Leahy before half time condemned Peterborough to a 3-1 defeat and a second-round exit.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peterborough United win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (5.73%).
We say: Peterborough United 1-1 Barnsley
The home factor has been of little significance in the recent 10 head-to-head clashes, as they finished with 5 wins for the sides performing at home and 3 for the traveling sides. Only two of the last 10 matches between Peterborough United and Barnsley ended in draws.
Bergstrom; Thompson, Knight, Kent, Butler; Fuchs, Taylor; Poku, Burrows, Mason-Clark; Clarke-Harris
Walton; Edwards, Andersen, Kitching; Benson, Kane, Connell, Phillips, Cadden; Norwood, Cole
In seven of Peterborough’s 19 League One matches this season, this team has scored four goals or more. In consecutive games, Peterborough has conceded at least twice. In this meeting of League One playoff contenders, back both teams to score.
Peterborough are good at home, but they haven’t kept a clean sheet in four of their last six League One home games, which Barnsley, who are in good form, should take advantage of.
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