Spezia Calcio will host Lecce at the Stadio Alberto Picco on Sunday (January 8) in Serie A. The hosts have endured a largely difficult campaign, finding themselves just outside the drop zone as the midpoint of the season approaches. Spezia played out a 2-2 draw against Atalanta in their last game, squandering a two-goal lead in the final 13 minutes. Spezia are 17th in the league table with just 14 points from 16 games.
Lecce, meanwhile. endured a slow start to their season but have found good form in the league recently and pushing for the top half of the table. They picked up a 2-1 comeback win over Lazio in their last game. Gabriel Strefezza and Lorenzo Colombo got on the scoresheet in the second half to help overturn an early deficit. The visitors are 12th in the standings with 18 points.
Spezia are on a three-game unbeaten streak in the league but have won just one of their last nine games in the competition. They are winless in their last four home league games and could struggle here. Lecce, meanwhile, are on a three-game winning streak in Serie A and are unbeaten in their last four games in the competition. They have, however, won just one of their last five away games and might have to settle for a point.
Prediction: Spezia 1-1 Lecce
This match Will start from 7:30 pm
This match will take place on 8 January, 2023
Spezia could be without both of their senior goalkeepers after Jeroen Zoet was withdrawn due to injury against Atalanta, meaning 20-year-old Petar Zovko may start between the posts for the hosts.
Daniele Verde also remains an injury doubt, while Albin Ekdal could be drafted in from the start in order to provide more experience in midfield.
Lecce, meanwhile, will travel without Morten Hjulmand after the holding midfielder received his fifth caution of the season during the win against Lazio on Wednesday.
Youssef Maleh, who joined on loan from Fiorentina last week, could be handed his first start for the club after making his debut from the bench last time out.
Zovko; Amian, Kiwior, Nikolaou; Holm, Ekdal, Ampadu, Bastoni, Reca; Nzola, Gyasi
Falcone; Gendrey, Baschirotto, Umtiti, Gallo; Blin, Maleh, Gonzalez; Strefezza, Colombo, Banda
Tip 1 – Result: Draw
Tip 2 – Goals – Over/under 2.5 – Under 2.5 goals (Seven of the visitors’ last nine games have produced fewer than 2.5 goals.)
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: Yes (Both teams have scored in six of the hosts’ last eight games.)
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia has a probability of 35.79% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win is 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.71%).
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Spezia vs Lecce a great match to watch, spezia will win.
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